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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 May 24 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 144 Issued at 2200Z on 24 May 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (25 May, 26 May, 27 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 474 km/s at 24/0127Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 24/1600Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 24/1052Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1268 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (25 May, 26 May, 27 May).
III. Event Probabilities 25 May to 27 May
Class M25%25%25%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 May 130
  Predicted   25 May-27 May 135/140/135
  90 Day Mean        24 May 156

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 May  008/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 May  007/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 May-27 May  009/008-009/008-008/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 May to 27 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm25%25%25%
Major-severe storm30%30%30%

All times in UTC

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