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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2016 Oct 09 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 09 Oct 2016 until 11 Oct 2016
Brillamenti solari

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
09 Oct 2016103007
10 Oct 2016102008
11 Oct 2016101007

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been very low. No significant flares have been recorded. All Active Regions (AR) have shown little activity. AR 2598 (Mcintosh class:Dai; Mag. type:Beta) has shown evidence of flux emergence in HMI magnetogram observations, which may result in increased flaring activity around the C-class level over the next 24 hours. No Earth directed CMEs have been observed. The solar wind speed has slowly declined from around 450 to around 380 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has remained around 5 nT. The Bz component fluctuated between -5 and +5 nT, but remained mainly negative. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-2 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. There is currently a small positive polarity Northern polar coronal hole which shouldn't affect the Earth.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 072, based on 16 stations.

Solar indices for 08 Oct 2016

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux104
AK Chambon La Forêt011
AK Wingst008
Estimated Ap008
Estimated international sunspot number064 - Based on 20 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Nessuna

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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