Vaata teisipäev, 23 veebruar 2021 arhiivi

SIDC igapäevane bülletään päikese ja geomagnetilise aktiivsuse kohta

Välja antud: 2021 Feb 23 1233 UTC

SIDC ennustus

Kehtib alates 1230 UTC, 23 Feb 2021 kuni 25 Feb 2021
Päikesepursked ehk loited

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Päikese prootonid

Quiet

10 cm voolAp
23 Feb 2021075020
24 Feb 2021075008
25 Feb 2021074005

Bülletään

The solar activity has been mostly quiet over the past 24 hours. Region Catania 73/NOAA AR 2803 is forming into a plage. Region Catania 74/NOAA AR 2804 had a low flaring activity while region Catania 75/NOAA 12805 appeared on the southern hemisphere. The solar flaring activity is expected to remain at low levels for the next 24 hours.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained mainly over the 1000 pfu threshold. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence remained on moderate levels in the past 24 hours. Both the electron flux and fluence are expected to remain elevated from the possible arrival of the expected CME from Feb. 20, but with a decreasing trend.

Over the past 24 hours, the Earth has remained on the fast solar wind regime. The influence of the two negative polarity southern Coronal Holes (CH) seems to just have past, since the magnetic field polarity switched to positive at about Feb 23 11:00UT. The solar wind speed ranged between 535 km/s and 635 km/s. The total magnetic field ranged between 2 nT and 7 nT. The Bz component fluctuated between -5 nT and 5 nT. A newly emerged negative southern CH is on the visible solar disk. The associated high speed stream should be expected about Feb 26. A possible solar wind shock due to the arrival of the CME on Feb 20 can be expected on Feb 23.

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet to unsettled, with an isolated active event early Feb 23 (K Dourbes and Kp=4).They are expected to remain in the same levels in response to the possible shock from the arrival of the CME on Feb 20.

Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 033, põhineb 16 jaamadel.

Päikese indeksid 22 Feb 2021

Catania Wolfi number026
10cm päikesevoog076
AK Chambon La Forêt029
AK Wingst///
Hinnanguline Ap021
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv019 - Põhineb 30 jaamal

Märkimisväärsete sündmuste kokkuvõte

PäevAlgusMaksLõppLokatsioonTugevusOP10cmCatania/NOAARaadiosignaalipursete tüübid
Puuduvad

Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive

Kõik ajad UTC-s

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