Välja antud: 2015 Oct 12 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
12 Oct 2015 | 089 | 016 |
13 Oct 2015 | 093 | 034 |
14 Oct 2015 | 097 | 027 |
The 4 sunspot groups currently visible on the solar disk are quiet. An active region (AR) is approaching the east limb and produced the only C-class flare of the period: C3.2 at 22:29UT. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been observed.
C-class flares are expected, with a small chance on an M-class flare from the AR just behind the east limb.
Solar wind speed continued its decline to values around 440 km/s until about 07:00UT, when a gradual increase was observed up to its current 500 km/s. Bz oscillated between -7 and +6 nT, with a sustained negative period at around -7nT between 08:00 and 11:00UT. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) was mostly directed away from the Sun (positive). Geomagnetic conditions ranged from quiet to unsettled, with a minor storming episode (Kp=5) during the 09-12UT interval. Active episodes were observed at Dourbes shortly before midnight. The high speed wind stream (HSS) from a wide northern coronal hole (CH) is expected to arrive later today and to continue possibly for the next two days.
Unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a good chance on minor geomagnetic storming episodes from the influence of the CH HSS.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 052, põhineb 17 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | /// |
10cm päikesevoog | 085 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 021 |
AK Wingst | 020 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 018 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 027 - Põhineb 19 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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